Weekly Thoughts 5 April 2024

I went for my annual medical on Wednesday this week. All the blood tests, the prostate physical, resting and effort ECG, blood pressure… the whole story. I’ve been doing this since the early forties. (age that is) It’s something we all need to do. Us men have our list of requirements; the ladies have theirs. My doctor told me this week that it’s time for a colonoscopy. Not happy. All that stuff to drink. Otherwise I seem to have passed.

Annually I get sent claim stats from one or more of the insurance companies that I use. Hollard sent me their figures last month covering claim figures for 2023. The most number of claims was for death. The second most was for dread disease, followed in third by disability income benefits.

Inside the dread disease category, the highest number was cardiac arrest, then heart attack, then stroke, then depression, followed by back issues, then motor vehicle accidents (which would have resulted in many of the disability income claims), then cancer. Putting all heart categories together, they had over 500 heart related claims. Disability related numbered over 170. I’m sure these numbers could be multiplied by 10 or 20 if the stats for all insurance companies were added together.

We obviously need to pay a lot of attention to things that look after our heart (note to self), including blood pressure, weight, diet, etc. The highest health issue facing the world is possibly overweight and obesity, which naturally contributes towards heart claims.

What we all need to be doing, is trying to fit three half-hour exercise sessions into our lives each week, during which we significantly raise our heart rates. Plus limit or stop our consumption of processed foods. These two things will make the most difference to most people.

And then go for your annual medical. If you’re old, like me.

Weekly Thoughts 23 March 2024

My Marriott consultant arranged lunch on Wednesday this week with one of the Marriott Investment Managers. Free lunch is always a good thing.

First we went over the offshore offerings managed out of the Isle of Man. Then he wanted to talk about Bond Funds, and this became very interesting. Bonds are lending instruments, and are used as a straight Bond Fund or as part of Income Funds. Money gets lent out to, hopefully, reputable government institutions or corporations or other, who promise to pay interest on the loan plus the capital back at a later date. The investor – the lender – would be enjoying an income from their money.

He told me of a South African Income Fund that has recently been awarded 1st place in the Income Funds category for 2023 in the Raging Bull awards. These are industry awards for the universe of unit trust funds and investment offerings registered for the South African investor. I don’t think I should name the fund in question, even though it’s public knowledge and in the press.

However, this fund is now in trouble. Why… because nearly 9% of its capital was lent out to the taxi industry, for the taxi groups to finance taxis. I said to him; “But who lends other people’s money to the taxi industry?” Anyway, the taxi associations have for a while now been defaulting in paying back on the loans. This has resulted in around 1 billion Rand of this Income Fund – that’s the 9% – being ringfenced, they also call it side-pocketing, where the capital cannot be redeemed or paid back at this stage and no interest is being paid from this portion anymore. (Remember, interest we receive, from anywhere, is because our money has been lent out to someone else who has to pay a higher interest rate on it.)

Because the loan to the taxi people would have been at an expensive interest rate, the interest from this portion of the fund was very high, paying a rate of 16% per annum. I suppose that helped it get an award. (The award process does not take into account the underlying security of the debt instruments.)

Then, as soon as the news broke about this portion of the fund being in trouble, institutions withdrew their capital very quickly. 700 Million Rand left the first day, 500 million the next day. 40% of the fund, excluding the taxi portion, left the fund in a short space of time.

My investment guy wasn’t finished yet. We were half way through our very good wraps. He told me that the first bond instruments that would have been sold – to cover the withdrawals – would have been the quality stuff, (he means high quality debt) because that would have been the most tradeable, the easiest to sell, carrying the highest buyer demand. That has left the remaining 60% of the fund made up of not the best quality debt. And the ringfenced Taxi funds are still untouchable.

What is my point for writing about this today? I’m not sure. Maybe just a conversation around good custodianship of your money being far more than just an award or performance.

Weekly Thoughts 1st March 2024

Maybe we should say ‘Happy Financial New Year’ to each other on this day. The rush of many varied transactions needing to be finished by yesterday, either made it in time or they didn’t. Either way, we can now relax and breathe because what’s done is done and what’s not is not.

Remember that odometer at year end. If you run a record of travel for your tax return and didn’t make a note of it yesterday, go out to your car and take a photo of your odometer. Note to self….

I thought a while ago about doing this: writing brief points on various things and tasks that I do in my daily activities in this job. Tasks for you or tasks to keep the business going. These are a random sample from anywhere over the past few weeks.

  • Sitting and talking with a client at home living on disability income protection
  • Spending full days researching and preparing technical investment explanations for a couple of clients
  • Phoning a financial service provider in another country regarding a client’s needs
  • Delivering three Death Certificates and original Wills to the Executors I use. Yes, that means…..
  • Getting a senior claims person on the line at an insurance company to argue that another client on disability benefits wasn’t being looked after well enough
  • Spending time with a whole family to plan and enhance their risk benefits
  • An hour on the phone personally with a Fund Manager for questions and debate
  • 17 hours of listening to different investment company presentations
  • A session with my compliance officer
  • Checking that changes in client portfolios reflect correctly a couple of days later
  • Nagging clients for FICA documents
  • Do my VAT return
  • Helping many of you calculate addition contributions into retirement funding for the tax year

A never ending variety of tasks.

9 February 2024

February is the month that those of us who are provisional taxpayers have to pay our second payment of the 2024 tax year. To avoid a penalty we are supposed to be within 80% of what your total income will end up being. And then of course you hopefully kept the cash aside to pay the state coffers.

It is also the month to add a lump sum to your retirement annuity if you have not taken full advantage of your 27% allowance against your taxable income during the year. It’s a worthwhile thing to do because you will reduce your taxable income and be saving more. If you are a monthly paye earner, you will get a present in the form of a refund later in the year when you do your tax return. But again, you will need the cash hanging around somewhere to do it.

This is also the month for those of you who make use of a travel log for SARS – we must remember to write down the odometer reading on the 29th. (I see we’re having a leap year this year)

So it’s a bookkeeping month for some of us.

All the best to anyone swimming the Midmar Mile this weekend. There is a road around the dam that can be used…. or you could take a canoe…. or sail a boat. Says he who has swum about eight of them.

26 January 2024

A couple of weeks ago I wrote about the modest houses that Warren Buffett and his business partner Charlie Munger, had lived in for most of their lives. (Just in case there is a reader who is not sure, these men have been highly successful investors for decades and are two of the wealthiest men in the world)

Today I have some snippets of advice that I found from their comments, regarding good saving and spending habits for us simple men in the street.

  • Avoid debt for depreciating assets (That’s basically everything except a house)
  • Be careful of buying too many things you don’t need
  • Avoid costly habits, like dining out and designer clothes
  • Do not save what is left after spending; spend what is left after saving
  • Live below your means
  • Maintain a frugal mindset
  • “Someone is sitting in the shade today, because someone planted a tree long ago.” (Ignoring the power of compounding. i.e. Time for your investments)
  • Invest in assets that generate income
  • Track your expenses: know where your money goes

I think they are saying: Save first, then live a simple lifestyle on what you have left.

Food for thought.

5 January 2024

I write to you this morning from down south in KwaZulu-Natal, from one of those hundred-and-something year old farm houses scattered across our country by early settlers. Rambling gardens and remnants of days of high society life, when the elite of the area would arrive in their wagons for a spot of tennis or bowls followed by high tea. The big old tree where they would rotate their wagons around and disembark, still stands in front of the old stone front wall. The tennis court and bowling green long gone and overtaken by orchards and plants. Something simple about those days….

Google is a very powerful tool. Most of you will know that it follows what you regularly search for and learns to bring you leads on those subjects. For me it’s motorbikes, history, 70s and 80s music, and yes, financial stuff. I have recently been reading a couple of articles around Warren Buffett and his long time business partner and friend, Charlie Munger. (Charlie passed away last year)

The topic that I’m going to specifically write about today, is that both of these men stayed in their same houses almost all their lives. Buffett bought his first house in 1958 and still lives in it. Munger said that he refused to follow his rich friends who built mega-mansions. He said that in practically every case, a fancy house does not make the person more happy. I am not going to pass a subjective opinion on that – maybe not for me to do. However, I will remind you that the house we live in is not an asset. Yes, we put it on our assets and liabilities, but that’s just so that the bank or SARS can see what they could take away from you.

Why is it not an asset? Because it costs us money while we live in it, because it does not put money into our bank account, and because you cannot access the value of it while you live in it. (Borrowing against it does not mean you’re accessing the value of it.) Yes, whoever inherits your estate could now access the value of it, but it’s not an asset while we live in it.

So, like these two incredibly wealthy men, be careful how much money you spend on your house of residence. It’s wealth you can no longer use.

11 December 2023

Yes it is Monday. Friday just got lost somewhere.

Most of you know that I regularly get online presentations to listen to. There are a lot of investment and compliance and regulatory ones that get thrown at us. But every so often, one of the insurance companies that I use puts together a session for us to join and learn from. Last week there was one from Hollard and the topic was disability, and in particular, disability income protection.

But what they did, was spend most of the one hour talking with two actual clients who were living on permanent disability income protection. Being a live session, there was first the settling down stuff of saying: “Can you all hear us? Can you see us? Please have your mics turned off. Thanks for joining.” And so on….

The first client was a lady who, from a physical point of view, was reasonably functional and mobile, but had been driven to the Hollard offices for the interview. For the second interview, the live feed had to be switched to the client’s house, where a remote team was ready for the conversation to happen again. This interview was with a man who was physically immobile and in stayed in bed permanently. He couldn’t move any part of his body, but he was mentally 100% and could listen to questions and respond and speak. The cause of the disability for both clients was a motor vehicle accident. They both finished talking by saying a number of times, ‘please make sure you have disability protection’.

I currently have two clients living on disability income protection. I see and hear and feel what it is to have the benefit, and likewise can see what the result would be if they did not.

For some of you, I find this benefit in your employee benefits – one of the reasons I nag you for your pension fund statement. For others, you have it personally. For some, we might still need to get it sorted out. Most of us won’t ever need it. Thankfully. That’s just how the stats work. More people need to pay than use it. Like the Lotto. And medical aid. But if you’re the one that does need it, and you don’t have it, life will be very difficult and a big and permanent financial drain on people around you.

It was quite something … quite moving…. to listen to the two clients talk. They spoke about how they lived, what they missed doing, what they couldn’t do… with their children. Kick a ball to his son, the man said.

24 November 2023

Today is that dark day when many people go shopping for things they don’t need with money they don’t have. It’s a have-to-do thing for many I suppose. The feeling of ‘I’ll miss out’ is very overpowering for some. If it is something you really would use or need anyway, then that’s good.

The slogan that always bother me, is: ‘Buy this for only R1,999 and save R500.’ We don’t save by spending. It doesn’t make sense. You didn’t save it – you simply didn’t spend it.

But how it is possible – to save the savings if you really needed to buy that thing – is to actually ensure you put that R500 somewhere, because you would have spent it on this thing when the price was higher. So move another R500 into your home loan account, or put it into your motorcar HP, or let’s add it to one of your investments, or continue to build the cash you keep in a savings account for emergencies. These things would be saving the savings.

The biggest winners today are probably the banks, because so many folk will shop with money they don’t have, meaning they spend on their credit cards, which is borrowing money from the bank who then charge us interest.

Me… I don’t do crowds or queues very well. So I’ll just hide indoors today and avoid the shops.

17 November 2023

I had a surprising number of you readers reply to my Thoughts last week regarding that Ponzi scheme I wrote about, saying you know someone who was in it and lost all their money, or who were lucky enough to have withdrawn their funds in time. I just want to make a few additional comments regarding all this.

The ‘brokerage’ was…is…. a Trust, with Trustees to make decisions and taking ‘due care’ – already a lower level of regulatory control than if it was a Company. It seems that Investors into this structure paid their money to the Trust’s Bank account and not directly to the investment manager. My point here is never pay your money to the broker’s / brokerage’s bank account. If you are asked to pay your funds to the Brokerage’s Bank account, that’s a red flag.

When you ask myself or Adrienne or Jacki to help you do an additional investment, we always either give you the banking details of Allan Gray or Marriott or our offshore investment managers etc, so that you can do the EFT directly to them, or we create those instructions whereby they withdraw the funds from your bank account. Money paid first to the brokerage’s account has time to sit before they do the pay-away to the investment manager, and then, maybe it doesn’t even get paid-away, or maybe it’s not being paid away to an investment manager at all, but becoming part of an ‘investment structure’, that has different variables to it. All difficult to track. And that’s what happened here….. someone had the ability to do things with the money coming in.

This week’s Daily Maverick had an interest article on this scheme. Plus there are other big investment managers making comments as to if and how they had any dealings with one of the underlying investment managers that did seem to receive funds. I follow with interest.

10 November 2023

I’m going to be controversial here. If I worked for a corporate I might have been called in and told that I cannot express my opinion in this way. But thank goodness I’m unemployed, so I can have my say. And sorry, the letter is a bit long this week.

Yet again, over the last 2 weeks another ‘Ponzi’ scheme has been in the news because it collapsed. Billions of Rands of investor money gone. Many investors have lost everything, maybe some will get back a few cents in the Rand when investigations and winds up are all done. The principal owner/operator has turned himself in at a police station, thinking he will be safer in jail than on the street.

Why was this money lost? Because it actually never owned anything, any assets. I have gone on at times about how your money in a unit trust fund actually owns assets, either actual shares of companies, or bonds or listed property, etc. In such a scheme as the above, it is very hard to know what’s being owned, if anything at all. People begin to get great ‘returns’, but these are shown either by statements that simply get generated but mean nothing, or through income payments on a monthly or whatever basis. All appears very good so they tell their mates. The operating company/guy even does presentations to people, showing these ‘returns’. It might run very successfully for years, for many years, while money keeps coming in. It eventually collapses, either because whatever electronic game and equation that was being played in the background to manipulate the ‘potential’ value of the investments backfires, (because nothing is actually being owned) and/or because a few investors begin wanting to draw all or a lot of their money out and the system suddenly begins to have a cash flow problem. Your income is initially paid out from the funds received by the scheme, but later, the income might be getting paid out by the next inflow. Not good….

Why do people go here? Many folk want to make their own choices for investing, not using the right process to identify something that might not work, not using the right person or not knowing how to really dig down, determine, ask the right questions, see what’s going on. Many investors in this example were even advised to go in by registered Financial Advisors and apparently the offering was even registered with our industry authorities. (But in my opinion, the people working in these industry regulatory spaces – they are just humans, not necessarily knowing themselves what to ask)

I have had an ‘investment scheme’ presented to me many years ago. It was a property syndication that eventually collapsed. You didn’t get your money back. The guy who brought this to me….. the numbers simply didn’t make sense to my simple brain. Expected returns were claimed to be xyz. I said to him your return figures are irrelevant because you cannot control an expected return. Commissions were too much: this is how they succeed in getting some advisors to market their product – they offer to pay us too much. He couldn’t explain the underlying ownership well enough and clients wouldn’t be able to draw their funds out for an initial time period. That’s always a raised flag to me: all assets based on the stock market are saleable within a few days. Anyway… I invited the guy to leave my office and that was that. I had colleagues that invested their clients in this, and these colleagues were so distraught when their clients lost their money. I said to them but this and that and the other… They said but they thought this and that. Too late.